Ukungena ngo-2023, ngenxa yokuhla kwemimandla eyahlukeneyo, imakethi ye-polyvinyl chloride yehlabathi (PVC) isajongene nokungaqiniseki.Uninzi lwexesha ngo-2022, amaxabiso ase-Asia nase-United States abonise ukuhla ngokukhawuleza kwamaxabiso kwaye aphantsi ngo-2023. Ukungena kwi-2023, kwimimandla eyahlukeneyo, emva kohlengahlengiso lwaseTshayina lomgaqo-nkqubo wokuthintela nokulawula ubhubhane, imarike ilindele ukuphendula. ;ukuze kuliwe nokunyuka kwamaxabiso, kunokunyusa ngakumbi inzala kwaye kunqande imfuno yePVC yasekhaya eUnited States.Kwimeko yemfuno ebuthathaka yehlabathi, ummandla wase-Asia kunye ne-United States, ekhokelwa yi-China, yandisa ukuthunyelwa kwe-PVC kwamanye amazwe.Ngokubhekiselele kwiYurophu, ummandla usaza kujongana namaxabiso aphezulu amandla kunye nengxaki yokunyuka kwamaxabiso, kwaye kusenokwenzeka ukuba akuyi kubakho mida yengeniso yeshishini elizinzileyo.
IYurophu ijongene nefuthe lokudodobala koqoqosho
Abathathi-nxaxheba beemarike baqikelela ukuba iimvakalelo ze-alkali yaseYurophu kunye neemarike zePVC ngo-2023 ziya kuxhomekeka kubunzima bokudodobala koqoqosho kunye nefuthe labo kwimfuno.Kwikhonkco yoshishino lweklorini, inzuzo yomenzi iqhutywa yibhalansi phakathi kwe-alkali kunye ne-PVC resin, kwaye enye yeemveliso ingenza ukulahlekelwa kwenye imveliso.Ngo-2021, imfuno yezi mveliso zimbini yomelele kakhulu, apho i-PVC inamandla.Nangona kunjalo, ngo-2022, ngenxa yobunzima bezoqoqosho kunye neendleko eziphezulu zamandla, kwimeko yokunyuka kwamaxabiso e-alkaline, ukuveliswa kwe-chlorine-based kwanyanzeliswa ukunciphisa umthwalo, kwaye imfuno ye-PVC yanciphisa.Ingxaki yemveliso yeklorini ibangele unikezelo oluqinileyo lwe-alkali-eyosiwe, itsala inani elikhulu lee-odolo zempahla yase-US, kunye nexabiso lokuthumela ngaphandle kwe-United States liye lanyuka liye kwinqanaba eliphezulu ukususela ngo-2004. Ngelo xesha, i ixabiso spot of European PVCs wehla kabukhali, kodwa igcinwe elona xabiso liphezulu ehlabathini ekupheleni 2022.
Abathathi-nxaxheba beemarike baqikelela ukuba kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2023, iimarike ze-alkali zaseYurophu kunye ne-PVC ziya kuba buthathaka ngakumbi ngenxa yokuba imfuno ye-terminal yabathengi iya kunyanzeliswa yi-inflation.NgoNovemba ka-2022, abarhwebi bealkaline bathi: "Amaxabiso aphezulu e-alkalinity onakaliswa yimfuno."Nangona kunjalo, abanye abarhwebi bathi iimarike ze-alkali kunye ne-PVC ngo-2023 ziya kuhlala ziqhelekile.Ixabiso eliphezulu-umkhuhlane kunye nealkali.
Ukuhla kwemfuno yase-US kukhuthaza ukuphuma
Imithombo yemarike yathi kwi-2023, i-United States edibeneyo ye-chlor -abavelisi be-alkaline baya kugcina imveliso yomthwalo ophezulu-osebenzayo kunye nokugcina amaxabiso e-alkaline eqinile, kunye nexabiso le-PVC elibuthathaka kunye nemfuno kulindeleke ukuba iqhubeke.Ukusukela ngoMeyi ka-2022, ixabiso lokuthumela ngaphandle kwe-PVC lase-US lehle phantse nge-62%, kwaye ixabiso lokuthumela ngaphandle kwe-alkaline ukusuka ngoMeyi ukuya kuNovemba ka-2022 linyuke phantse nge-32%, emva koko laqala ukuwa.Ukusukela ngo-Matshi 2021, amandla okuqhotsa aseMelika e-United States anciphe nge-9%, ikakhulu ngenxa yothotho lokunqunyanyiswa kwemveliso yinkampani yeOlimpiki, ekwaxhase ukuqiniswa kwamaxabiso ealkaline.Ukungena kwi-2023, amandla e-alkaline-amaxabiso aqhotsiweyo aya kuba buthathaka, kwaye ngokuqinisekileyo ukuhla kunokunciphisa.
I-West Lake Chemical yenye ye-American PVC abavelisi beresin.Ngenxa yemfuno ebuthathaka yeeplastiki ezihlala ixesha elide, inkampani iphinde yanciphisa izinga lomthwalo wemveliso kwaye yandise ukuthunyelwa kwayo kumazwe angaphandle.Nangona ukucotha kwesantya sokunyuswa kwenzala kunokukhokelela ekunyukeni kwemfuno yasekhaya, abathathi-nxaxheba kwimarike bathi ukubuyiswa kwehlabathi kuxhomekeke ekubeni imfuno yasekhaya yaseTshayina iye yaphinda yaphinda yavela.
Nikelani ingqalelo ukubuyiswa kweemfuno ezinokwenzeka zaseTshayina
Imakethi ye-PVC yase-Asia inokuphinda ibuyele ekuqaleni kuka-2023, kodwa imithombo yezentengiso yathi ukuba imfuno yase-China ayikabuyi ngokupheleleyo, ukuchacha kusaza kuthintelwa.Ixabiso le-PVCs yase-Asia lawa ngokukhawuleza kwi-2022, kwaye i-offer ngoDisemba waloo nyaka yafika kwinqanaba eliphantsi kakhulu ukususela ngoJuni 2020. Imithombo yemarike yathi inqanaba lexabiso libonakala likhuthaza ukuthengwa kwendawo kunye nokuphucula ukulindela kwabantu ukuhla.
Imithombo iphinde yabonisa ukuba xa kuthelekiswa ne-2022, umthamo wokubonelela nge-PVC yase-Asia kwi-2023 inokugcina inqanaba eliphantsi, kwaye izinga lomthwalo wokusebenza liyancipha ngenxa yokunyuka kwemveliso.Imithombo yorhwebo iqikelela ukuba ekuqaleni kuka-2023, ukuhamba kwempahla yase-US yePVC yokuqala engena e-Asia kuya kuthotha.Nangona kunjalo, imithombo yaseMelika yathi ukuba imfuno yaseTshayina iphinda ibuyele, ukwehla kokuthunyelwa kwe-PVC yaseTshayina kunokubangela ukonyuka kokuthumela ngaphandle kwe-US.
Ngokutsho kwedatha yamasiko, ukuthunyelwa kwe-PVC yaseChina kwafikelela kwirekhodi yeetoni ze-278,000 ngo-Ephreli 2022. Kwi-2022 kamva, ukuthunyelwa kwe-PVC yaseChina kwanciphisa.Ngenxa yokwehla kwamaxabiso e-PVC ase-US, amaxabiso e-PVC ase-Asia ehla kwaye iindleko zokuthunyelwa kwenqanawa zehla, nto leyo ethe yaphinda yaqalisa ukhuphiswano lwehlabathi lwe-Asia PVC.Ukususela ngo-Oktobha 2022, i-PVC yase-China yayiyi-96.600 yeetoni, inqanaba eliphantsi kakhulu ukususela ngo-Agasti 2021. Eminye imithombo yemarike yase-Asia yathi ukulungiswa kwe-China yokuthintela ubhubhane, imfuno yaseChina iya kuphinda ibuyele kwi-2023. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ngenxa yeendleko eziphezulu zokuvelisa, umgangatho wokusebenza womzi-mveliso wePVC waseTshayina ekupheleni kuka-2022 wehlile ukusuka kuma-70% ukuya kuma-56%.
Uxinzelelo lwe-Inventory lunyusa i-PVC kwaye lusaqhuba
Iqhutywa lulindelo olunethemba lemarike ngaphambi koMthendeleko we-Spring, i-PVC yaqhubeka inyuka, kodwa emva konyaka, yayiseyi-off-season yokusetyenziswa.Imfuno ayizange ifudumale okwangoku, kwaye imarike ibuyele kwizinto ezibuthathaka ezisisiseko.
Ubuthathaka obusisiseko
Ubonelelo lwePVC lwangoku luzinzile.Ekupheleni kukaNovemba kulo nyaka uphelileyo, umgaqo-nkqubo we-real estate waqala, kwaye ulawulo lobhubhane lwaphuculwa.Inike imarike ulindelo oluhle ngakumbi.Ixabiso laqhubeka libuyiselwa, kwaye inzuzo yabuyiselwa ngaxeshanye.Inani elikhulu lezixhobo zokulondoloza ngokuthe ngcembe laqalisa umsebenzi kwinqanaba lokuqala kwaye lanyusa izinga lokuqala.Isantya sokusebenza sePVC sangoku si-78.5%, esikwinqanaba eliphantsi ngexesha elifanayo xa kuthelekiswa neminyaka edlulileyo, kodwa unikezelo luzinzile kwimeko yokwandisa umthamo wokuvelisa kunye nemfuno enganeleyo yexesha elide.
Ngokwemfuno, ngokwembono yalo nyaka uphelileyo, ulwakhiwo olusezantsi lukwinqanaba elisezantsi kunyaka ophelileyo.Emva kokuba ulawulo lobhubhane luphuculwe, incopho yalo bhubhani yenzekile, kwaye imfuno efunwayo ngexesha lasebusika iye yehla ngakumbi ngaphambi nasemva koMnyhadala waseNtwasahlobo.Ngoku, ngokwexesha lonyaka, kuthatha iveki enye okanye ezimbini ukuqala emva koMthendeleko weNtwasahlobo ukuqala ukuphucula, kwaye indawo yokwakha ifuna ukunyuka kwamaqondo obushushu.Unyaka omtsha kulo nyaka ungaphambili, ngoko umntla udinga ixesha elide lokuqalisa emva koMthendeleko weNtwasahlobo.
Ngokumalunga ne-inventory, i-inventory yase-East China iqhubekile nokugcina iphakamileyo kunyaka odlulileyo.Emva kuka-Okthobha, ithala leencwadi lalibangelwa kukuhla kwePVC, ukwehla konikezelo, kunye nolindelo lwemarike kwimfuno yexesha elizayo.Idityaniswe nomsebenzi wokumisa osezantsi woMnyhadala waseNtwasahlobo, uluhlu lwempahla luqokelele kakhulu.Okwangoku, i-East China kunye noMzantsi China uluhlu lwePVC yi-447,500 yeetoni.Ukususela kulo nyaka, iitoni ezili-190,000 ziye zaqokelelwa, kwaye uxinzelelo lwe-inventory lukhulu.
Umgangatho wokuba nethemba
Izithintelo ekwakhiweni kweendawo zokwakha kunye nokuthutha zirhoxisiwe.Umgaqo-nkqubo we-real estate waziswa ngokuqhubekayo ekupheleni konyaka ophelileyo, kwaye imarike kulindeleke ukuba ibuyise imfuno yezindlu.Kodwa enyanisweni, kusekho ukungaqiniseki okukhulu noko ngoku.Imeko yenkxaso-mali yamashishini ezindlu nomhlaba iyaphumla, kodwa ingaba inkxaso-mali yenkampani iphuhlisa umhlaba omtsha okanye ikhawulezisa ukwakhiwa kolwakhiwo.Ngokusondeleyo.Ekupheleni konyaka ophelileyo, silindele ukuba ukwakhiwa kwezindlu nomhlaba kuya kuphucula kulo nyaka.Ngokombono we-inshurensi, kusekho i-gap encinci phakathi kwemeko yangempela kunye nokulindela.Ukongeza, ukuzithemba kunye namandla okuthenga abathengi basekhaya nako kubalulekile, kwaye kunzima ukunyusa intengiso yezindlu.Ke ekuhambeni kwexesha, imfuno yePVC isalindeleke ukuba iphinde ibuyiselwe, kunokuba iphuculwe kakhulu.
Ukulinda indawo yokutshintsha uluhlu kuyavela
Emva koko, umba osisiseko wangoku ukwimeko engenanto, kwaye uxinzelelo lwe-inventri luphezulu.Ngokwamaxesha onyaka, uluhlu lwempahla lungena kumjikelo wexesha lokuphela konyaka nalo kufuneka lulinde abavelisi bePVC abaphezulu ukuba bangene kugcino lwasentwasahlobo, ukwehla kokubonelela, kunye nophuculo olubanzi lolwakhiwo olusezantsi.Ukuba indawo yokuguqula uluhlu lwempahla inokungeniswa kwikamva elingekude, iya kudlala indima eyomeleleyo ekubuyiseleni amaxabiso ePVC.
Ixesha lokuposa: Feb-16-2023