Parizvino,PVCine simba muzvigadzirwa zvesimba nemakemikari, uye inoganhurwa nekukanganisa kwemafuta asina kukora uye zvimwe zvinhu zvakawanda.Mushure mekugadzirisa zvishoma mumusika wekutarisa, kuchine kukwira kwekufamba.Zvinokurudzirwa kuti vanoisa mari vadzore zvinzvimbo zvavo uye vatenge zvakanyanya pamadips.
Mushure mezororo raMay, mutsara mukuru wekutengesa kwemusika inflation uye kushomeka kwekupa kuri pachena, uye marudzi akadai semarasha ekupisa uye rebar, ayo ari kunyanya kukanganiswa nekabhoni kusarerekera mutemo, akakurumidza kuwedzera.Muchirevo chechinyorwa ichi, mutengo wePVC wakateverawo maitiro ekumusoro.Pakati pavo, PVC ramangwana 2109 kontrakiti yakakwira kusvika pakakwirira ye9435 rmb / ton, uye mutengo weEast China calcium carbide type 5 yakarovawo hutsva hutsva mumakore makumi maviri apfuura, ichikwira kusvika kumativi e9450 rmb / ton.Zvakadaro, mhando dzemhando dzemhando yepamusoro dzakakwira zvakanyanya kwemazuva mazhinji akateedzana, izvo zvine kukanganisa kwakanyanya papurofiti yekugadzirwa kwepakati nepasi.
Musi waMay 12, Hurumende yeHurumende yaida mhinduro inobudirira kune zvakanyanya kukurumidza kuwedzera kwemitengo yezvinhu uye mhedzisiro yayo;pana Chivabvu 19, Dare reHurumende raida matanho akazara ekudzivirira kupihwa kwezvinhu zvakawanda uye kuderedza kukwira kwemitengo kusingaite mukupindura shanduko yemusika.Zvichikanganiswa netarisiro yemutemo uyu, zvinhu zvakawanda zvakawira mukutengeserana kwemasikati neusiku.Kuderera kukuru kwePVC zuva iro kwaive kwe3.9%.Nekudaro, zvichienzaniswa nezvitema zvekuvakisa uye zvimwe zvigadzirwa zvesimba, iyo yekugadziridza huwandu hwePVC ishoma.Inogona kuva yakasimba zvakadaro mune ramangwana here?
Kunetseka-pasina kudiwa mukati megore
Kubva pamaonero ekupa, kubuda kwemapurasitiki akasiyana-siyana kwakawedzera zvakanyanya mumwedzi mina yekutanga yegore rino.Kutora PP semuenzaniso, kuwedzera kwekugadzirwa kwepolypropylene pellets kubva munaJanuary kusvika munaApril yaiva 9,258,500 tani, kuwedzera kwe15.67% gore negore;iyo yakawedzera kugadzirwa kwepolyvinyl chloride yaive 7.665 miriyoni matani, kuwedzera kwe1.06 miriyoni matani zvichienzaniswa nenguva imwe cheteyo muna 2020, kuwedzera kwe16.09%.Muchikamu chechipiri nechechitatu, avhareji yemwedzi nemwedzi PVC inobuda icharamba iri pamatani miriyoni 1.9.Panguva imwecheteyo, nekuda kwekukanganisa kwekuderedzwa kwekupihwa kwemhiri kwemakungwa panguva yeMutambo weChirimo, kutengesa kunze kwenyika kwePVC mbishi zvinhu kwakawedzera nematani angangoita 360,000 gore negore mumwedzi mitatu yekutanga yegore rino.Panyaya yezvigadzirwa zvemhiri kwemakungwa, kuvaka kwenyika dzakawanda kwakawedzera zvishoma nezvishoma, uye kunotarisirwa kukwira kusvika pakakwirira mugore kubva muna Chikunguru kusvika Nyamavhuvhu.Nokudaro, kubva pamwedzi-pa-mwedzi wekuona, kugoverwa kwema disks ekunze kunowedzera zvishoma nezvishoma, uye munyori akacherechedzawo kumwe kururamisa mumutengo wePVC pane kunze disks munguva yemberi iri pedyo.
Kubva kudivi rekuda, nyika yangu inotengeswa kunze kwenyika yePVC poda inonyanya kuIndia neVietnam, asi huwandu hwePVC hwekutumira kunze muna Chivabvu hunogona kudzikiswa zvakanyanya nekuda kwekusasimba kwekuda kunokonzerwa nedenda reIndia.Munguva pfupi yapfuura, iyo PVC India-China yemutengo gap yakakurumidza kudzikiswa kusvika kuUS $ 130 / tani, uye hwindo rekuburitsa kunze rave kuda kuvharwa.Gare gare, kutengesa kwakananga kweChinese poda kunogona kupera simba.Nezvekutengesa kunze kwezvigadzirwa zvekupedzisira, maererano nekucherechedza kwemunyori, iyo US real estate ikozvino inoratidza zviratidzo zvekushaya simba, asi mamiriro ehupfumi achiripo, uye zvinotarisirwa kuti kutengesa kunze kwenyika kwezvigadzirwa kunogona kuchengetedzwa.Mukutaura kwekudiwa kwepamba pasi pemvura, kutanga, kutanga kwekutanga kwepasi kwakawira mwedzi-pa-mwedzi, uye kutanga kwezvigadzirwa zvinyoro zvakawira zvishoma nezvishoma;chechipiri, kutanga kwePVC flooring kwakaramba zvakanyanya;chechitatu, nhamba yemirairo ichangoburwa paruoko yakaramba ichidzikira kusvika pamazuva makumi maviri, uye kudiwa kwakaoma kwaive kwakasimba;chechina, Guangdong Province Electricity rationing yatotanga mune dzimwe nzvimbo, izvo zvine chimwe chinokanganisa kutanga kwemamwe mafekitori ekugadzira.
Pakati pese, kudiwa kwepamba nekune dzimwe nyika kwakaderera zvishoma kana zvichienzaniswa nemwedzi wapfuura, asi kuwedzera kwekuwedzera kwenzvimbo yedzimba yakapedzwa muna Kubvumbi yaive 17.9% gore negore.Iko kudiwa kwekupedzisira kwePVC kunovimbiswa, uye kudiwa kwegirazi kumucheto kumashure kweiyo real estate kutenderera kuri kubudirira.Kubva pakuona uku, kunyange zvazvo kudiwa kwenguva pfupi kwePVC kuri kupera, hapana kunetseka pamusoro pekuda mukati megore.
Nhamba yekambani yakaderera
Parizvino, kunyangwe kudiwa kwePVC kuchiderera zvishoma kubva pamwedzi wapfuura, mutengo wePVC unoramba wakasimba.Chikonzero chikuru chiri mune yakaderera inventory kumusoro kwerwizi, pakati nepakati nepasi.Kunyanya, mazuva ekutenga ePVC kumusoro kwevagadziri vari padanho rakaderera;maererano nehuwandu hwepakati pemvura, tora East China neSouth China sampuli yehuwandu hwemagariro evanhu semuenzaniso.Kubva muna Chivabvu 14, huwandu hwakazara hweEast China neSouth China matura ekuchengetera matani aive mazana maviri nemazana matanhatu nemazana matanhatu, kuderera kwegore-pagore kwe47.68.%, pamwero wakaderera munguva imwe cheteyo mumakore matanhatu apfuura;kudzika kwerukova ruw material inventory inochengetwa kwemazuva angangoita 10, uye hesiti yacho haina kwayakarerekera kuderera.Zvikonzero zvikuru: Kune rimwe divi, indasitiri yekugadzira yepasi inopokana nemitengo yepamusoro yezvigadzirwa.Panguva imwecheteyo, mitengo yakakwirira yakakonzera basa guru, uye makambani haakurudzirwi kuunganidza;kune rumwe rutivi, nhamba yemazuva emirairo yakadzika pasi payo yakaderera uye kudiwa kwekuchengetedza kwakaderera.
Kubva pamaonero ekumusoro, yepakati, uye yepasi pevhu, yakaderera hesiti, semhedzisiro yekudyidzana pakati pekupa uye kudiwa mativi, inotaridza intuitive yeyakare kudiwa boom uye inobata zvakananga maitiro azvino uye eramangwana emutambo mutambo wemapato ese ari maviri. .Iyo yakaderera hesiti yevagadziri vekumusoro uye vatengesi yakatungamira kune yakasimba makotesheni kana yakatarisana nezasi.Kunyangwe munguva yekuderera kwemutengo, mutengo unowedzera kuvimba, uye hapana kutya kwekutengesa kunokonzerwa nepamusoro pekutsvaga.Naizvozvo, zvinhu zvichangoburwa zvakawanda zvakakanganiswa nemafungiro asina kunaka uye kuderera kwese kuderera, asi kana zvichienzaniswa nemamwe marudzi, mutengo wePVC wakaratidza kumwe kusimba nekuda kwekusimba kwayo kwayakarerekera.
Mutengo we calcium carbide wakakwira
Nguva pfupi yadarika, Ulan Chabu Guta, Inner Mongolia yakapa "Tsamba pamusoro peBudgetary Electricity Consumption for High Energy-consuming Enterprises kubva muna Chivabvu kusvika Chikumi 2021 ″, ichirambidza mashandisirwo emagetsi emabhizinesi anoshandisa simba zvakanyanya mukati mesimba rayo.Iyi mitemo ine simba guru pakupiwa kwe calcium carbide.Naizvozvo, zvinotarisirwa kuti mudzimba karusiyamu carbide mutengo ucharamba uri padanho repamusoro, uye kutsigirwa kwemitengo yekunze kwecalcium carbide-yakagadzirwa PVC mabhizinesi ichave yakasimba.Pamusoro pezvo, purofiti yenzira yekunze yecalcium carbide parizvino inosvika chiuru cheyuan/tani, purofiti yekubatanidzwa kweNorthwest inosvika zviuru zvitatu zveyuan/ton, uye purofiti yeEast China ethylene nzira yakakwira.Kumusoro purofiti parizvino yakakwira uye shungu dzekutanga mashandiro dzakati wandei, nepo purofiti yekugadzira yakaderera, asi haigone kuchengetedza mashandiro.Pakati pese, kugoverwa kwepurofiti yePVC indasitiri chain haina kuenzana, asi hapana kusaenzana kwakanyanya.Kunyanya kuderera kwepurofiti inotungamira mukudzikira kukuru kwekutanga, izvo zvisina kukwana kuti ive kupokana kukuru kunobata maitiro emitengo.
Outlook
Parizvino, kunyangwe paine zviratidzo zvekusasimba kweparutivi padivi rekudiwa kwePVC, kudiwa kwakasimba kuchiripo munguva yepakati uye kwenguva refu.Nekunyorwa kweketani yese yeindasitiri padanho rakaderera, mutengo wePVC wakasimba.Nemitengo yenguva refu, tinoda kuitarisa kubva padanho repamusoro.Nepo denda repasi rose richiri kuitika, kunyangwe kushomeka kwemari kunokonzerwa nekunetsa kweinflation kwenguva pfupi kuri kuwedzera zvishoma nezvishoma, Fed yave neshungu "kuwedzera pepa rayo" mukupindura dambudziko redenda.Kutenderera kwazvino kwemusika wemombe hausati kwapera, uye zvichatora nguva kuti mitengo ikwire.Kune marudzi ane zvirinani zvakakosha, kuchine mukana wekuwedzera kumisa mitsva munguva inotevera.Ehe, vatengesi vanofanirwawo kunyatso tarisisa kushanduka kwemitengo kunokonzerwa nenjodzi dzemitemo yemumba.
Isu tinotenda kuti PVC yakasimba musimba uye zvigadzirwa zvemakemikari, uye inoganhurwa nekukanganisa kwemafuta asina kuchena nezvimwe zvinhu.Mushure mekugadzirisa zvishoma mumusika wekutarisa, kuchine kukwira kwekufamba.Zvinokurudzirwa kuti vatengesi vadzore nzvimbo dzavo uye vatenge pamadips.
Nguva yekutumira: May-28-2021